Saturday, February 22, 2025

Brandon Setta

I know him from Nothing and then there was his road to a solo career.

There's something in his voice, the tunes of the guitar, and the general vibe that makes him different.

In the pool of commercialized industry behind the shoegaze genre, it was refreshing to hear an authentic delicate sound. Be it a shoegaze sound, or an acoustic singer-songwriter, or whatever. The feel of the music is what matters the most. There you find the real McCoy amongst gazillions of fake acts. 

Much respect, Brandon! Huge fan here! 

Saturday, February 15, 2025

Words and idioms: Oubaitori

 Pronounced Oh-Buy-Toe-Ree

Well, it's a weird thing to stumble upon a springy theme on these cold dark days. But anyway, let's jump into it:

Oubaitori is a Japanese idiom concerning nature.

Springtime in Japan is described as a riot of colors. Obubaitori is inspired by four trees of Cherry, Apricot, Peach, and Plum. In unison, they blossom and amalgam a colorful picture of diverse colors and smells.

 On the human level, Oubaitori reflects the diverse nature, mindsets, and sensations while we coexist.

Oubaitori mentality has an air of individuality and giving meaning while we persist in our individual values. This is a pearl of pleasant wisdom specifically in the current "Us vs. Them" climate. Maybe it can help us eschew all the hostility toward the ever-threatening existence of "them". Instead of being inured to tribal hostility and conforming to the hot xenophobic trends, the nature of Japanese spring may somewhat remind us of the collective imperfection that makes a whole palatable. 

Thursday, February 6, 2025

Genuine Progress Indicator (GPI)

I stumbled upon this metric in the economy named the genuine progress index (GPI). I explored a little bit to see how it was constructed and what sort of domains it covers. 

The formula to calculate GPI is below, along with a brief explanation of what each component means.

GPI = Cadj + G + W - D - S - E - N

  • Cadj = personal consumption with income distribution adjustments
  • G = capital growth
  • W = unconventional contributions to welfare, such as volunteerism
  • D = defensive private spending
  • S = activities that negatively impact social capital
  • E = costs associated with the deterioration of the environment
  • N = activities that negatively impact natural capital

It's important to note that assigning monetary values to non-market goods and services and assessing the impact of social and environmental factors involves a degree of subjectivity. Therefore it is possible that there are some intersubjective variations in GPI calculations.


Assigning Monetary Values in GPI Calculations

Determining the monetary values for non-market goods and services in GPI can be tough. The calculations can be a bit of a puzzle, and economists use several methods to crack it. One way is through market price estimation where economists look at the prices of similar market goods as stand-ins for non-market ones. In cases where there's a direct substitute (or similar good), this is typically the most ideal case.

Economists could also go straight to the source, asking people directly about their preferences or observing consumer behavior in surveys and revealed preference methods. Surveys can often reveal consumer sentiment about the value additions and deductions from any given good.

Another approach to assigning monetary value involves shadow pricing. Shadow pricing happens when we estimate the economic value of non-market goods by looking at the costs or benefits associated with their use or depletion. For instance, think about the cost of environmental degradation or the loss of biodiversity. Even though there may not be a direct economic cost there that contributes to a good, there is still value lost that can be at least tracked, if not measured one way or another.

Last, economists may choose to layer on assumptions when looking at market transactions. They may choose to analyze a price from the lens of what that good's price or cost could be due to non-market factors or how a price is derived from a hedonic pricing angle. For instance, the price of a home may be based on the size of the home, age of the home, or neighborhood. Understanding these factors may attribute value to other comparables, and this strategy can be used across different types of goods.

GPI vs. GDP

GDP increases twice when pollution is created – once upon creation (as a side-effect of some valuable process) and again when the pollution is cleaned up. By contrast, GPI counts the initial pollution as a loss rather than a gain, generally equal to the amount it will cost to clean up later plus the cost of any negative impact the pollution will have in the meantime. Quantifying the costs and benefits of these environmental and social externalities is a difficult task.

By accounting for the costs borne by society as a whole to repair or control pollution and poverty, GPI balances GDP spending against external costs. GPI advocates claim that it can more reliably measure economic progress as it distinguishes between the overall "shift in the 'value basis' of a product, adding its ecological impacts into the equation." 

The relationship between GDP and GPI mimics the relationship between the gross profit and net profit of a company. The net profit is the gross profit minus the costs incurred, while the GPI is the GDP (value of all goods and services produced) minus the environmental and social costs. Accordingly, the GPI will be zero if the financial costs of poverty and pollution equal the financial gains from the production of goods and services, all other factors being constant. The following is from the website investopedia.com

Advantages and Disadvantages of GPI

Genuine Progress Indicator (GPI) measures the economy holistically by considering economic indicators that the GDP doesn't. For example, it accounts for negative externalities, such as pollution and crime, and other social breakdowns that compromise the economy and the welfare of the people it serves. These events create large societal costs from the resulting damages.

Benefits to society, such as volunteerism, housework, and higher education are significant contributions to society but were largely ignored because they were difficult to quantify.
 And as no consideration is given in exchange for these types of services, they are not included in the GDP. However, to account for their impact on the economy, the GPI prescribes values to each.

Accounting for these activities and events that ordinarily have no assigned values can be problematic. Including them requires values to be assigned, and these values can differ based on who is ascribing them. This level of subjectivity can make it difficult to compare GPIs.

Also, the broad definition of GPI allows for different interpretations and calculations. These inconsistencies can make it difficult to get an accurate accounting of factors and compare GPIs. They also make it difficult for GPI to be adopted as the economic standard of measurement.

Pros
  • Includes environmental and social factors not considered in the GDP

  • Assigns values to societal contributions, such as volunteering

  • Quantifies an overall impact in a single, simple number that may be easier to compare over time

Cons
  • Makes it difficult to compare GPIs due to subjectivity

  • Allows for different interpretations and calculations due to broad definition

  • May result in assumptions (at least for the non-monetary variables)


Ebola vs. COVID-19: public health lessons from Liberia

There is a plethora of literature, addressing public health policies regarding COVID-19. The following paragraphs are excerpted from an article by Anfaara et al. published in Social Science and Medicine, January 2025

"Like elsewhere in the world, care work is gendered, with women bearing the brunt of caregiving during disease outbreaks or health emergencies. However, in Liberia, we argue that the inadequacies of the health system and past political administrations further exacerbated the care burden on women. While this aligns with our theoretical framework, it is noteworthy that despite both governments (Sirleaf and Weah) representing the elite ruling class in Liberia, our participants seem to credit one administration for being more responsive to disease containment. For instance, our participants perceived the Sirleaf administration's willingness to include grassroots organisations and other major stakeholders in Ebola management as a collective effort and a critical reason for the success of Ebola containment. This is probably because, during the initial crisis stage of Ebola, the Sirleaf administration created the National and County-level Ebola task force to brainstorm and initiate strategies to mitigate the spread of Ebola before the arrival of international support. Women's groups, in particular, were invited to be part of the national Ebola response, and there was regular Ebola messaging and communications from the government during this period; as well, on multiple occasions, Sirleaf called for an "all-hands-on-deck" approach to Ebola containment (WHO, 2015BBC, 2014). Study participants observed that similar strategies were not fully implemented during the COVID-19 pandemic.

 

Certainly, the Weah administration implemented some of the post-Ebola disease management strategies to contain COVID-19. These included early surveillance, implementing a state of emergency, and restricting local and international travel (Babalola et al., 2022). Yet, participants perceived the administration's approach to COVID-19 management as unitary due to its exclusion of grassroots community-based groups in its response strategies and the government's promotion of alternative COVID-19 remedies. It is possible that the Weah's administration promotion of an alternative solution to COVID-19 containment (see News Public Trust, 2020) may have undermined vaccine uptake and reinforced conspiracy theories about the disease. This experience is not unique to Liberia; in fact, many studies have shown that leadership by positive examples reinforce scientifically proven disease management strategies while negative examples erode trust (Kutor et al., 2022; Nyenswah et al., 2016)."